New England Revolution - Atlanta United FC Fußball Wett-Tipps & Prognosen

Recent H2H meetings have swung in New England's favour — they look to be on a rising trend against Atlanta, winning most of the latest encounters while Atlanta's successes have been sporadic. New England won 6, Atlanta 2 and there were 2 draws in the last ten games. Matches have tended to be competitive with goals at both ends.

💡Key H2H stat

🔎Last H2H match details

Atlanta started stronger and took a deserved first-half lead through Fafa Picault just before the break, leaving New England chasing the game at half-time. The second half reversed the momentum: New England equalised around the 72nd minute and then grabbed the winner through Peyton Miller shortly after, turning the match on its head. Atlanta pushed hard in the closing stages with corners and shots on target but failed to convert clear chances, while New England were more clinical when it mattered and held on for a 2-1 win.

📊Last 10 H2H games stats

The recent rivalry has produced mostly mid-scoring affairs with both teams finding the net in 70% of meetings (7/10). New England recorded 6 wins, Atlanta 2 wins and there were 2 draws; 70% of games finished over 2.5 goals, while most matches stayed under 3.5, highlighting competitive but not runaway scorelines.

New England arrive in mixed form over their last 10 matches, posting 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats — enough wins to keep momentum but inconsistency has cost them points. The results have been high‑variance: narrow victories and a couple of heavy defeats, so the trend is neither clearly rising nor collapsing. Offensively they've averaged 1.4 goals per game but defensive lapses have left them vulnerable at times.

💡Key New England stat

🔎Last New England match details

New England's most recent outing was away against Charlotte FC, a 1-0 defeat after Charlotte struck early in the first half. New England lined up in a 4-2-3-1 and pushed hard after the break, dominating possession and forcing several chances and set pieces but failing to convert. The manager fielded a near full-strength squad with the regular starters who have featured most often this season, so the result reflected missed opportunities rather than heavy rotation. Charlotte were reduced to ten men in the second half, yet New England still couldn't find the equaliser.

📊Last 10 New England games stats

Across the last 10 matches New England scored 14 and conceded 14 (1.4 per game), with only 1 clean sheet — underlining defensive inconsistency. Seven of those fixtures saw both teams score (70%) and eight exceeded 1.5 goals (80%), so their games tend to be open and entertaining. New England create chances regularly (89 shots total, 34 on target) but need to be more clinical and steadier at the back.

BTTS (both teams to score)

Yes. The head-to-head and recent form point to both sides finding the net in most meetings — BTTS has appeared in around 60–70% of their recent clashes and New England's home fixtures show BTTS in roughly 60–70% of games. Atlanta have struggled to score often on the road, but they still produce goals in a fair share of matches (5 of their last 7 MLS games featured goals for both teams), so a 1-1 type outcome looks likeliest.

Goals total over / under

Under 2.5. Most indicators point to a low combined total: New England have been under 2.5 in nine straight MLS matches and Atlanta have scored under 1.5 in the majority of recent games, while the average H2H goals sits around 2.2. We therefore expect a tight, low-scoring game (think 1-0 or 1-1), making under 2.5 the sensible pick.

New England

New England are without a couple of contributors up front and have defensive absences that could weaken their backline; Luca Langoni is the most notable attacking miss over the last 10 games. Losing both forwards and a starting defender limits rotation and could blunt their scoring and defensive stability.

- Luca Langoni (forward) | 2 goals, 1 assist | missing ❌ | other | since 0 days

- Andrew Farrell (defender) | 1 goal, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 0 days

- Leonardo Campana (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 0 days

- Ilay Feingold (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 0 days

Atlanta

Atlanta have several defensive doubts and midfield absences, with Ajani Fortune the most dangerous absentee given his recent goal return. Multiple defenders listed as out or doubtful could force lineup changes and affect defensive cohesion.

- Ajani Fortune (midfielder) | 2 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 1 days

- Matthew Edwards (defender) | 0 goals, 1 assist | doubtful ❓ | injured 🤧 | since 1 days

- Paulo Diaz (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | other | since 0 days

- Sergio Santos (forward) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 0 days

- Steven Alzate (midfielder) | 0 goals, 0 assists | doubtful ❓ | injured 🤧 | since 1 days

- Pedro Amador (defender) | 0 goals, 0 assists | missing ❌ | injured 🤧 | since 0 days

Both teams have effectively stuck to their starting XIs over the last 10 matches, registering an average of 0 substitutions per game. That suggests managers rarely turn to a Plan B during these fixtures, and rotation is minimal. Expect limited fresh-leg introductions late unless forced by injury or card trouble.

⚽Goals & assists by subs

New England's substitutes contributed 1 goal and 0 assists across the period — that's 1 goal (7.69% of the team's goals) and 0% of assists, indicating very little attacking impact from the bench. Atlanta's bench delivered 2 goals and 3 assists, accounting for 18.18% of goals and 42.86% of assists, a substantially stronger bench output that can influence late-game situations.

🎏Joker players

No single player clearly stands out as a dominant joker — several Atlanta players have chipped in with one goal or one assist off the bench, and New England's only sub scorer has a single goal, so there isn't a standout name with a clear upper hand. Note that Atlanta's bench threat could be blunted by squad availability issues: Fortune is currently injured and Edwards is listed as doubtful, which reduces the number of reliable late-game changers available.

Lauziere lässt das Spiel tendenziell etwas mehr laufen als der typische MLS-Referee, pfeift marginal weniger Fouls und zeigt weniger Karten, was Mannschaften entgegenkommen kann, die auf Konter setzen. Verglichen mit dem MLS-Durchschnitt gibt er weniger Fouls (21,16 vs. 22,53) und weniger Gelbe und Rote Karten (3,86 vs. 4,29 Gelbe; 0,07 vs. 0,12 Rote); der deutlichste Ausreißer ist eine marginal höhere Elfmeterquote (0,14 vs. 0,11), die in engen Partien spielentscheidend sein kann.

💢Durchschn. Fouls pro Spiel

Lauziere kommt auf durchschnittlich 21,16 Fouls pro Spiel gegenüber dem MLS-Mittelwert von 22,53, sodass es unter seiner Leitung eine kleine, aber sichtbare Reduzierung der Unterbrechungen gibt, was auf marginal weniger Störungen im Angriffsfluss und mehr Raum für Konter hindeutet. Angesichts seiner im Ligavergleich niedrigeren Foul-Rate ist insgesamt mit einem etwas freieren Spiel zu rechnen.

Fouls Gesamtprognose:

🟨🟥Durchschn. Gelbe und Rote Karten pro Spiel

Er verteilt weniger Gelbe und Rote Karten als der Durchschnitts-Schiedsrichter (3,86 vs. 4,29 Gelbe; 0,07 vs. 0,12 Rote), was bedeutet, dass die Spieler seltener zu vorsichtigem, zurückhaltendem Spiel nach frühen Verwarnungen gezwungen werden und die Teams ein geringeres Risiko spielentscheidender Platzverweise tragen. Diese geringere Kartenhäufigkeit senkt die Wahrscheinlichkeit von taktischen Wechseln aufgrund von Verwarnungen und hält die Bänke taktisch flexibler.

🥅Durchschn. Elfmeter pro Spiel

Lauziere verhängt Elfmeter etwas häufiger als die MLS-Norm (0,14 vs. 0,11), was direkte Angreifer und Flügelspieler begünstigen kann, die im Strafraum das Eins-gegen-Eins suchen, und macht Standardsituationen sowie Elfmeterszenarien zu einem relevanten Faktor in engen Partien. Obwohl der Unterschied gering ist, ist es die einzige Statistik, die ein torarmes Spiel kippen kann.