Kudermetova, Polina - Korneeva, Alina Tennis Wett-Tipps & Prognosen

Polina Kudermetova is 23 while Alina Korneeva is 19, a four‑year age gap that favors Kudermetova’s relative experience. Kudermetova sits around WTA No. 109 (708 pts) and reached a career‑high of No. 54 in April 2025 (her peak came recently), whereas Korneeva is higher in the pecking order at about No. 90 (≈840 pts) with a career‑high of No. 128 in February 2024.

Short‑term form shows {lastGamesResults}. In 2026 Kudermetova has a 66.7% overall win rate and 60.0% on outdoor hard courts, recovering strongly from a weaker 2025 (38.1% overall, 43.8% on outdoor hard). Korneeva posts a 68.8% overall win rate in 2026 and 63.6% on outdoor hard courts, a clear step up from 2025 (40.0% overall, 50.0% on outdoor hard).

Bookmakers make Alina Korneeva the clear favourite at 1.42 (about 70% chance) while Polina Kudermetova is the underdog at 2.87 (about 35% chance).

📈Market Expectations vs Reality (last 60 days)

Korneeva has delivered when backed as favourite, winning 7 of 8 matches (88%), and she also wins a fair share as an underdog (3/5, 60%), which matches her strong market standing. Kudermetova performs excellently when favourite (6/7, 86%) but struggles when cast as the underdog (1/4, 25%), so the market undervalues her only in matches where she is priced down.

🏆Notable Tournament Performances

Korneeva captured a WTA 125 title in Oeiras (WTA 125, ~€100k pot) — her biggest success in the last year. Kudermetova reached multiple WTA 125 finals (including Oeiras 4 and Canberra) and posted several deep runs at WTA 125 events, but she recorded no WTA 125 titles or significant results at WTA 500/1000 or Grand Slam level.

🔎Opponents Quality Check (last 365 days)

Kudermetova has no wins vs top-30 opponents (0% vs ranks 1–10 and 21–30) and racks up wins mostly against players ranked 101+ (66% at 101–200 and 83% vs >200); she did face world No.1 Aryna Sabalenka and lost. Korneeva has been strong vs mid-ranked peers (100% vs 31–50, 68% vs 101–200) but lacks wins over top-20 rivals; the pair met once this period with Kudermetova leading the head-to-head 1-0.

Alina Korneeva holds the clear advantage in their recent H2H, winning the only recorded meeting in straight sets. Korneeva closed out the match without allowing a comeback and dominated the major phases of play.

🔎Last H2H match details

Alina Korneeva controlled the match and closed it out 6-2, 6-3. Korneeva served strongly, produced multiple aces and secured early breaks, while Polina Kudermetova struggled with several double-faults and inconsistent serving that prevented any momentum shift.

🌍Pitch surfaces

Their recorded encounter took place on outdoor hardcourt, where Korneeva won decisively. No other surface results are available, so outdoor hardcourt is where Korneeva established the current edge.

🎬How does the rivalry look like?

Their H2H meetings finish quickly and one-sided: the lone clash ended in straight sets with a clear domination set (6-2). Matches between them do not produce close sets or tiebreaks, and the winner closes out matches without facing a comeback.

Kudermetova shows clear attacking punch but carries serve volatility into this match — she mixes strong hold numbers with a high double-fault rate that costs her tight sets. Recent results split 5-5 in the last 10 matches, while the broader year shows consistent winning form that she transfers best to faster surfaces.

🏟️Tournament performance so far

Polina Kudermetova has not yet played a match in this tournament.

Key tournament stats:

No tournament stats available

📈📉Short & long term form

Kudermetova is 5-5 in her last 10 matches but 35-26 across the last 12 months, which means short-term inconsistency interrupts an otherwise positive long-term trend. Her serve wins a high share of points (57% service points won short- and long-term), yet recent matches show elevated double faults that undermine close games and completely blanked her tiebreak record in the last 10.

Key form stats:

Short term: 5 wins, 5 losses; service points won 57%; double-fault rate 8.54%

Long term: 35 wins, 26 losses; service points won 57%; tiebreak win rate 57%

📆Year to date form

Kudermetova is 30-15 YTD across all surfaces and wins most frequently on faster courts; grass stands out as one of her stronger surfaces this year. This match is played on grass — on grass she wins more service points and holds serve more often than her overall season numbers, but she also records a higher double-fault rate on grass than on some other surfaces. The combination of stronger service hold (more free points/aces) and risky serving (more double faults) defines how she wins and how she can lose on grass.

Key YTD stats:

Overall YTD: 30 wins, 15 losses (45 matches)

Grass YTD: 5 wins, 2 losses; service points won 59%; first-serve in 70%

Grass downside: double-fault rate 7.59%

Polina Kudermetova is a heavy-forehand baseliner who grinds out long rallies and punishes opponents when she gets the initiative, while Alina Korneeva is a younger, more versatile mover who uses a steady backhand and sharper timing to attack on faster courts. The biggest difference is Kudermetova’s heavier baseline aggression and clay comfort versus Korneeva’s cleaner movement and better strike timing on grass/indoor hard; on red clay Polina wins 79.0 points per match versus Korneeva’s 67.33 points per match, which implies surface will heavily shape betting lines.

1️⃣ Polina Kudermetova playstyle

Polina drives play with a powerful first-serve plus a dominant forehand that wins the bulk of her points and lets her dictate from the baseline. She shows strong physical durability and excels in long rallies, but her second-serve reliability suffers at times and double faults cost her on key points (double-fault rate 7.09% and second-serve points won 53% last 12 months), so matches can tilt if an opponent neutralizes the forehand and attacks her second serve; that dynamic makes markets like serve breaks and games handicaps attractive when she’s under pressure.

2️⃣ Alina Korneeva playstyle

Alina relies on crisp movement, a reliable backhand and aggressive timing to win short-to-medium rallies, which plays very well on faster courts where she can take the ball early. Her forehand produces more errors than winners (forehand winner-to-error ratio 0.46x), and her second-serve and double-faults create vulnerability under pressure (double-fault rate about 6.8% with second-serve points won ~53%), so she profits when she can keep points short and convert break chances but risks giving away decisive service points in tight situations.

Polina Kudermetova mixes power with risk: she produces more aces (3.39 vs 2.91) and converts a strong share of first-serve points, but her higher double-fault count (5.16 vs 4.82) and lower first-serve in% (60.63% vs 66.24%) expose her to free points against. Alina Korneeva serves with greater consistency — higher first-serve in (66.24% vs 60.63%) and a marginally better overall service points won rate (56.66% vs 56.54%) — yet she generates fewer aces and her weaker second-serve in% (27.65% vs 33.20%) creates a clear target when her first serve falters. This matchup shapes into a contrast: Kudermetova’s aggression gives her edge on quick holds and ace opportunities, while Korneeva’s steadiness limits break chances unless pressured; expect a mix of free points, a fair share of second-serve exchanges, and several hold-or-break moments.

Key service data

Korneeva closes out matches from a lead and handles key points better, showing strong serve-side nerve and fewer shutout sets; her 68.00% deuce serve win rate and 90.48% conversion of a first-set lead give her an edge when she takes control. Kudermetova dominates pockets of the score with more games won to zero and quick-fire sets, but she exposes herself in extended pressure sequences — her deuce receiver rate falls to 39.00% and she suffers more bagels and games lost to zero. Expect Korneeva to make breaks stick and finish tight games, while Kudermetova can still flip the match with bursts of domination; the match outcome will hinge on whether Kudermetova sustains those bursts or Korneeva steadies through deuces.

Key data for advantge & under pressure play

Polina dominates tie-break outcomes more than Korneeva, winning 53.33% of her 15 tie-breaks versus Korneeva’s 33.33% from the same count, which gives Polina the clear edge in closing out tight sets. Polina produces more free points in tie-breaks with 4 aces versus Korneeva’s 2, but Polina’s 10 double faults versus Korneeva’s 3 expose her serve under pressure and create openings for returners. Polina also wins deuce points in tie-breaks (1/2 = 50%) while Korneeva has not won a deuce point in a tie-break (0/1 = 0%) — the deuce sample for both players is very low, but Polina’s edge on clutch points and overall tie-break win rate will shape the outcome, while Korneeva’s cleaner but less aggressive serving keeps her vulnerable if rallies reach extended pressure points.

Key tie-break data